The International Futures Team has been working with Peru’s National Center for Strategic Planning (CEPLAN) to embed IFs into the country’s long-term visioning efforts. IFs contributed significantly to CEPLANs Bicentenary Plan, released in 2014 and looking out to 2021, the 200th anniversary of Peruvian independence. Work has also begun as foundation for studies on Peru 2030 and 2050. The IFs team has conducted a series of in-country IFs trainings in support of this effort, and CEPLAN is building a strong IFs team. Members of the IFs team have also discussed the possibility of adding a sub-national breakdown of Peru to the IFs modeling system with CEPLAN and Oxfam America.
The Minerva Research Initiative began in 2008 in the Department of Defense as a collaboration with research universities to build a deeper understanding of the social, cultural, and political dynamics that shape regions of strategic interest around the world. In 2014, the DoD awarded the Pardee Center a grant to identify and measure (im)balances in development to determine what sets of conditions are necessary for popular grievances to spark abrupt socio-political change, using a combination of statistical and algorithmic analyses of existing data sets, as well as qualitative case studies. The DoD grant is active until 2017.
The International Futures team has been working with the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) mission within Uganda to guide their upcoming Country Development Cooperation Strategy (CDCS). The CDCS is a five-year strategy required of each USAID mission to help inform budgeting, planning, and resource allocation. The IFs team will evaluate potential strategies within the CDCS’s 2016-2021 period and how they could affect the country through 2040.
Pardee Center personnel have contributed forecasting expertise to the last three of the U.S. National Intelligence Council’s quadrennial Global Trends reports, most recently Global Trends 2030. These are forward-looking documents prepared for delivery to the incoming or re-elected President and designed to aid policy makers by highlighting alternative futures for key geopolitical issues.
The Pardee Center, in partnership with Institute for Security Studies via the African Futures Project (AFP), has been working with the Western Cape Provincial Government in South Africa to develop a nine-province breakdown of South Africa in IFs modeling system. As part of this ongoing effort to represent the history and future of development within the Western Cape Province, we have produced provincial level policy analyses and a series of IFs trainings for the Western Cape provincial government. An IFs team now exists within the Western Cape Provincial Government.