Parched Prospects II: A Revised Long-Term Water Supply and Demand Forecast for South Africa

Hedden, Steve. March 2016. "Parched prospects II: A Revised Long-Term Water Supply and Demand Forecast for South Africa." African Futures Paper No. 16. Institute for Security Studies and Pardee Center for International Futures, Pretoria, South Africa, and Denver, Colorado, USA.

It is likely that South Africa is overexploiting its water resources at the national level, as water withdrawals currently exceed reliable supply. Using the International Futures forecasting system, this paper forecasts that withdrawals in all three sectors (municipal, industrial and agricultural) will increase over the next 20 years. Proposed interventions for increasing supply and reducing demand are not enough to reconcile the gap between withdrawals and supply. More must be done to bring the South African water sector into balance and reconcile future national water withdrawals with future national supply.​​

 

 

 

Content Type: AFP Paper 
Authors: Steve Hedden
Date Published: 2016
Access Document: http://www.pardee.du.edu/sites/default/files/AF16.pdf
Source: Institute for Security Studies and Pardee Center for International Futures