Third Party Publications

This section lists publications using or referring to the International Futures (IFs) modeling system that are authored solely by researchers and analysts not formally affiliated with the Pardee Center. The types of publications of which we are aware include books and book chapters, dissertations, journal articles, reports, and, while not publications strictly speaking, conference presentations and working papers.

We are always interested in learning about and adding to this list other publications and presentations that have not yet come to our attention. Please do share any suggested additions with us at Pardee.Center@du.edu.

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The Elusive ‘New Nepal’: Democratisation, Ethnic Politics and Social Contract-making in a Plural Society

Article | Timothy Sisk

This paper considers how the newfound social contract has been forged and the ways in which a sustainable contract remain elusive.

The Future is a Moving Target: Predicting Political Instability

Article | Cullen Hendrix

Previous research by Goldstone et al. (2010) generated a highly accurate predictive model of state-level political instability... This article reassesses the model’s explanatory power and makes three related points.

The Mecca Summits: Is Something Going On?

Article | Gary Grappo

Speculation holds that the Mecca confab is meant to (a) ratchet down tensions by invoking summit diplomacy — though the Iranians are not in attendance — and (b) get all Muslims/Arabs on board with a Saudi approach.

The Mueller Report and Global Contentious Politics

Article | Deborah Avant

As we begin to digest Attorney General William Barr’s summary of the Mueller Report’s findings, one thing is crystal clear.

The Private Security Events Database

Article | Deborah Avant

The prevalence of private security has generated important questions about its consequences, but data to answer these questions are sparse.

The use of the Community Earth System Model in human dimensions climate research and applications

Article | Brian O'Neill

ESM projections underpin analyses of human dimensions of the climate issue, yet little is known about how ESMs are used in human dimensions research.

Turning Vision into Reality: Namibia's Long-term Development Outlook

Reports & Briefs

Hedden, S. (2015). "Turning vision into reality: Namibia's long-term development outlook." Institute for Security Studies and Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver. Denver.